Compañero, no dice nada nuevo. Ambos bandos tienen pérdidas, en eso estamos de acuerdo, pero claramente las pérdidas son mayores para el invasor que para el que defiende. Siempre ha sido así, el que invade es el que lleva el peso de la iniciativa, debe romper líneas defensivas, debe embestir. La cosa es que aquí no estamos hablando de países en igualdad de condiciones, estamos viendo a una superpotencia invadiendo a un país mediano, no pequeño, pero menos armado y poderoso. Y ese menos poderoso le está haciendo la vida de cuadritos a la superpotencia, y además, le está causando un nivel de bajas tan alto que no se veían desde la Guerra del Golfo Pérsico. Es que según algunas cuentas, ya van llegando a las 30.000 bajas en menos de 4 meses, eso es demasidado alto. Estados Unidos tuvo mucho menos que eso en 20 años de estar en Afganistán. Los rusos las llevan en menos de 4 meses.
Si Rusia hace semejante esfuerzo para sostener regiones que de facto ya tenía bajo su dominio desde 2014, pues no hizo nada, sólo desperdiciar recursos, vidas y de novedoso cargarse inútilmente toda la economía de Rusia por quién sabe cuántas décadas.
Como dijeron arriba: Ucrania puede perder 50 o 100 efectivos al día, pero seguro Rusia perderá 100 o 200 al día, y estamos viendo que Rusia no tiene tantas tropas como nos hicieron creer siempre, tanto, que hoy varios batallones del DPR se negaron a combatir, se rebelaron, están cansadas, agotadas, y lo peor es que Rusia no tiene cómo relevar a esas tropas, ni siquiera las propias...
Y así fue en Kiev y así fue en Kharkov: avanzaban y avanzaban, los ucranianos los dejaban adentrar y después... tomen para que lleven. Señores, no importa qué tanto avancen, lo que importa es todo lo que les hacen estirar la logística...
Por otro lado, Caesar franceses en manos de Ucrania...
A esto es que me refiero: entren, entren, pero a ustedes les tienen que llegar pertrechos y munición, comida y combustible... Pues ahí es donde los ucranianos los joden...
Increible, según la BBC el mayor general en retiro que derribaron los ucranianos en Popasna estaba volando para el grupo Wagner, la causa de retiro del general es que cuando estaba en servicio activo habría tomado un Su-27 para dar un paseo y lo estrelló mientras hacia acrobacias.
Lo dicho. Rusia podrá conseguir unos avances en el Donbass, pero en términos generales, son avances escasos y magros en comparación al alto nivel de pérdidas que están sufriendo en ello... No se ve posibilidad de victoria tampoco aquí...
'It's meaningless to hope for victory': Top Russian ex-spy turned
influencer warns Putin's offensive in Eastern Ukraine is going 'very
bad', troops will suffer 'huge losses' while their leadership leaves
'much to be desired'
Igor Girkin, an ex-FSB officer who led fighting in Donbas in 2014, has slammed Russia's current war in Ukraine
Girkin, who goes by the name Strelkov, said it is 'meaningless to hope for victory' even if Russia takes Donbas
Seizing the region will incur 'huge' Russian losses with bloodied troops left defending a huge frontline, he said
Ukrainians
- who are reinforcing with conscripts and rearming with Western weapons
- will then go on the counter-attack, forcing Russian troops backwards
and perhaps to their own borders, he added
Russia
has virtually no hope of winning its war in Ukraine even if it manages
to seize the whole of Donbas in the coming weeks, a former spy and
commander who was instrumental in starting the original conflict has
said.
Igor Girkin - who goes by the nom-de-guerre Igor Strelkov, meaning 'shooter' - has given a withering assessment of Putin's
war effort, saying that Russian units are suffering 'huge losses' by
'banging their heads against' deeply entrenched Ukrainian troops, and
are being led by commanders who 'leave much to be desired.'
Despite
Russia making piecemeal gains on the Donbas front in recent days -
capturing towns around Popansa and pushing to encircle Severodonetsk -
Strelkov says Ukraine is fast-mobilising new troops, rearming using
Western weapons, and digging into new defensive positions that will be
hard to overrun.
It is 'meaningless to
hope for victory' without a general mobilisation of Russia's army,
Strelkov argues, which Putin refuses to do because he is being
molly-coddled by his inner circle into believing victory is still
possible. As long he remains shielded from reality 'nothing will change,
and when it does change... it will be too late to do anything.'
Once
the Russian offensive grinds to a halt - something Strelkov predicts
could happen as soon as mid-June - Ukraine will then switch to counter
attacks as it did around Kyiv and Kharkiv, forcing Putin's commanders on
to the back foot and likely pushing their badly-mauled units backwards -
perhaps to their own borders.
But even
if no counter-attacks come, Russia will be faced with the prospect of
trying to hold a long front line against well-armed and newly-reinforced
Ukrainian defenders who will refuse to give up the fight, all the while
Russia's economy will flatline under sanctions.
Comentarios
20 paises van a hacer aportes.
Italia, Grecia, Noruega y Polonia se comprometieron a enviar cañones de artilleria y munición.
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2022/05/23/ukraine-russia-invasion-live-updates/9888764002/
PD. Podría incluir cohetes de largo alcance. La Républica Checa sumunistraría helicópteros de ataque.
https://www.digitaljournal.com/world/us-says-20-countries-offer-new-arms-packages-for-ukraine/article
Creo que le queda dificil que vaya.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/russia-included-john-mccain-on-its-list-of-americans-banned-from-russia-seemingly-not-realizing-he-is-dead/ar-AAXCtjH?li=BBnbcA1
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_foreign_aid_to_Ukraine_during_the_Russo-Ukrainian_War
Bendiciones...
Bendiciones...
Bendiciones...
https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1529095437256380416?s=20&t=PTFyiKP5oJ9I_7RQkW11hQ
https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1529099517005639682?s=20&t=yUc9205lJfwgc2xckOG_lA
'It's meaningless to hope for victory': Top Russian ex-spy turned influencer warns Putin's offensive in Eastern Ukraine is going 'very bad', troops will suffer 'huge losses' while their leadership leaves 'much to be desired'
Russia has virtually no hope of winning its war in Ukraine even if it manages to seize the whole of Donbas in the coming weeks, a former spy and commander who was instrumental in starting the original conflict has said.
Igor Girkin - who goes by the nom-de-guerre Igor Strelkov, meaning 'shooter' - has given a withering assessment of Putin's war effort, saying that Russian units are suffering 'huge losses' by 'banging their heads against' deeply entrenched Ukrainian troops, and are being led by commanders who 'leave much to be desired.'
Despite Russia making piecemeal gains on the Donbas front in recent days - capturing towns around Popansa and pushing to encircle Severodonetsk - Strelkov says Ukraine is fast-mobilising new troops, rearming using Western weapons, and digging into new defensive positions that will be hard to overrun.
It is 'meaningless to hope for victory' without a general mobilisation of Russia's army, Strelkov argues, which Putin refuses to do because he is being molly-coddled by his inner circle into believing victory is still possible. As long he remains shielded from reality 'nothing will change, and when it does change... it will be too late to do anything.'
Once the Russian offensive grinds to a halt - something Strelkov predicts could happen as soon as mid-June - Ukraine will then switch to counter attacks as it did around Kyiv and Kharkiv, forcing Putin's commanders on to the back foot and likely pushing their badly-mauled units backwards - perhaps to their own borders.
But even if no counter-attacks come, Russia will be faced with the prospect of trying to hold a long front line against well-armed and newly-reinforced Ukrainian defenders who will refuse to give up the fight, all the while Russia's economy will flatline under sanctions.
https://twitter.com/ChrisO_wiki/status/1529071995391987712?t=j5la8o7Wfr2UT1I1ylyq3Q&s=19
Bendiciones...
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